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Showing posts with label AspECT. Show all posts
Showing posts with label AspECT. Show all posts

Tuesday, 13 November 2012

reposted from: http://www.gastroendonews.com/ViewArticle.aspx?d=In%2Bthe%2BNews&d_id=187&i=November+2012&i_id=905&a_id=22107

crabsallover highlightskey pointscomments / links.



ISSUE: NOVEMBER 2012 | VOLUME: 63:11
Benefit of Aspirin as Chemoprevention for Barrett’s May Not Outweigh Risks by Caroline Helwick


San Francisco—There is no evidence that aspirin is beneficial for preventing esophageal adenocarcinoma in people younger than age 55 years. Even for appropriate patients, the benefits emerge only after many years of use and the related risks remain unclear, said Janusz Jankowski, MD, PhD, the Sir James Black professor at the University of Oxford in the United Kingdom.

Dr. Jankowski is chief investigator of AspECT (Aspirin Esomeprazole Chemoprevention Trial), a randomized trial that is currently evaluating the chemopreventive effect of aspirin in patients with Barrett’s esophagus (BE). Some of the controversy may well be resolved by AspECT, which is one of the largest randomized trials involving the upper gastrointestinal (GI) tract ever. Currently, 2,513 patients are being tested to ascertain whether low-dose aspirin versus no aspirin—both in combination with esomeprazole (20 vs. 80 mg)—can reduce cancer risk. Efficacy results are expected in 2019 (ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT00357682).

Dr. Jankowski reviewed the available evidence for aspirin’s effect in preventing esophageal adenocarcinoma in a lecture at the American Society for Clinical Oncology 2012 Gastrointestinal Cancers Symposium.

When compared with other chemopreventive agents like cyclooxygenase (COX) inhibitors and nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs), aspirin has shown the greatest efficacy in reducing the risk for cancer (20%-30%) and cardiovascular events (25%), at by far the lowest cost (approximately $5 per year), although with a slightly higher risk for upper GI bleeding (2.5%-4% per year).

“Compared with traditional NSAIDs and COX inhibitors, aspirin wins hands down for preventing cancer and cardiovascular disease, but GI bleeds are the biggest side effect,” Dr. Jankowski said. “And this GI bleeding profile is only relevant for aspirin taken alone. If you take another NSAID, the risk is additive.”

Although rare, aspirin also has been associated with a risk for macular degeneration.

“We have to consider when we look at randomized data, that aspirin could be preventing some problems but causing others at a very low frequency,” Dr. Jankowski noted.

Preliminary data from the AspECT trial suggest that 5% of individuals are intolerant to aspirin, meaning that one in 20 will discontinue its use due to effects such as GI upset, skin rash or worsening of asthma. And as patients age, the risk for complications gradually increases and could approach 20% by the age of 70, after 20 years of use, Dr. Jankowski said.

“The big challenge is to see if the 20% to 25% of patients who get a cancer prevention benefit are different from the 20% who may get aspirin-induced complications,” Dr. Jankowski said. “Randomized studies are the only way to fully answer the questions related to the risks and benefits of aspirin as chemoprevention.”

An analysis of individual patient data from randomized trials (Rothwell PM et al. Lancet 2011;377:31-41) concluded that taking aspirin daily (=75 mg) reduced deaths due to common cancers, during and after the trials, in 20% to 25% of subjects. The effect was most pronounced for GI tumors; it was apparent after four years and became significant after 10 years.

“One-fifth to one-quarter of patients taking aspirin for cardiac reasons got a secondary benefit in terms of cancer prevention,” Dr. Jankowski observed. “But, based on the data, you may have to take aspirin for at least 10 years, and maybe 20, to get this benefit, so the side-effect frequency needs to be exceptionally low. And as good as aspirin is, the response rate is just 20% and we still don’t know who the responders will be.”

It also is possible that the preventive effect is smaller, he added, based on his reanalysis of the Rothwell data.

“In our hands, we showed that cancer prevention is not 20% to 25%, but more like 7% to 10% (risk ratio [RR] 0.9; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.87-1.00]),” he said. “This is crucial. We need to understand the real benefit and risks in order to determine the value, especially as primary prevention.”

From cardiology data it is clear that aspirin use affects cardiovascular events only in persons already at high risk (i.e., the secondary prevention population). A recent paper recapitulated this finding in cancer as well as cardiac disease, Dr. Jankowski noted.

In a meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials involving 100,000 participants followed for a period of six years (Seshasai SR et al. Arch Intern Med. 2012;172:209-216), it was found that aspirin treatment reduced total cardiovascular events by a modest 10%, did not prevent cardiovascular deaths and was associated with a 31% increased risk for nontrivial bleeding events. The investigators concluded that routine use of aspirin for primary prevention is not warranted.

“So, should one take low-dose aspirin?” Dr. Jankowski asked. “At this time, the answer is indefatigably ‘No, you should not,’ unless you have secondary risk factors for cardiac or GI conditions.”
The international Consensus Statements for Management of Barrett’s Dysplasia and Early-Stage Esophageal Adenocarcinoma, Based on a Delphi Process (BADCAT, Gastroenterology, 2012;143:336-346) confirmed Dr. Jankowski’s conclusions. The group’s consensus is that it is not currently known whether aspirin can prevent the progression of BE and that the inherited genetics of BE has not been clarified. These topics should be a research focus, the group stated.

Early data from the AspECT trial, however, have offered encouraging signs that four years of aspirin treatment may be protective.

“There are not enough data to determine if it prevents cancer, but we see new squamous islands appearing where Barrett’s esophagus was,” said Dr. Jankowski.

“We may have a recommendation regarding aspirin use within the next two years,” he added. “Meanwhile, there is no evidence whatsoever, even with risk factors for cancer or cardiac disease, that a person should take aspirin before the age of 55 years. And we don’t think that taking aspirin after the age of 75 makes sense, based on the need to take it for 10 years to achieve a benefit, and because of the high incidence of side effects at this age. Between the ages of 55 and 75, a patient could take aspirin, but there are still risk–benefit issues and we don’t know who will respond. We need to deal with these issues urgently.”

Prateek Sharma, MD, professor of medicine at the University of Kansas School of Medicine, Kansas City, commented on the findings.

“The majority of esophageal adenocarcinomas originate in patients with Barrett’s esophagus. These patients progress to low-grade dysplasia, high-grade dysplasia, intramucosal carcinoma and finally to invasive carcinoma,” he noted. “Currently, we survey patients with Barrett’s esophagus to detect high-grade dysplasia and early cancer, which can then be treated for cure. We could achieve substantial health care savings if we had an agent that would prevent these conditions.

Although observational studies have generated preliminary data on the ability of certain agents such as aspirin, sulindac and DFMO [difluoromethylornithine) to prevent esophageal cancer, their broad clinical applicability is limited due to their toxicity,” he added. “Further research is needed to identify which subset of patients would benefit from chemoprevention and the dose required, duration of treatment and toxicity.”

Friday, 10 December 2010

reposted from: http://scienceblog.cancerresearchuk.org/2010/12/07/expert-opinion-aspirin-and-cancer-the-unanswered-questions/ via http://scienceblog.cancerresearchuk.org/2010/12/07/aspirin-cuts-risk-of-dying-from-several-types-of-cancer/
crabsallover highlights in red and my comments in bold orange

crabsallover has paid $31 for Janusz Jankowski paper cited by Peter Rothwell et al: stored on my hardrive: aspirin-cancer-consensus-jankowski.pdf




Expert opinion: aspirin and cancer – the unanswered questions

In the light of today’s headlines about aspirin and cancer, we spoke to one of our leading scientists Professor Janusz Jankowski, who’s running a clinical trial – AspECT – looking at whether aspirin can prevent oesophageal and bowel cancer. Here are his opinions and concerns about the latest findings:

Professor Janusz Jankowsk
Professor Janusz Jankowski
Aspirin’s ability to prevent cancer, especially cancers of the digestive system (oesophagus, stomach and bowel cancers) is well known.
But before we can recommend that people take aspirin, there are several important things to learn about whether long-term low-dose aspirin use is beneficial overall.

How common are side-effects?
Aspirin has several serious side effects. Most importantly, aspirin can increase the chances of developing stomach ulcers – which can cause bleeding. In people over 75, this can be fatal. The true frequency of aspirin-related stomach ulcers varies depending on the method used to measure it – it can be anywhere from 0.1 to 2 per cent of people taking aspirin, every year. 


Peter Rothwell somewhere mentioned the 1/1000 or 0.1% figure. 

However, drugs called ‘proton pump inhibitorscan reduce the likelihood of bleeding from stomach ulcers caused by aspirin by up to fifty per cent.

Aspirin has other side-effects. In very rare cases, it can increase the chances of bleeding in the brain. About one in a hundred people taking aspirin have an allergic reaction. And about one in ten find it can make their asthma worse.

Who will benefit?
Secondly, because we’re all genetically different, and have different lifestyles, aspirin probably doesn’t prevent cancer in everyone who takes it. A reasonable estimate, based on the available research, is that about a quarter (25 per cent) of people will benefit – but this figure may be as low as a fifth (20 per cent). So the majority of people taking aspirin may not in fact benefit from it.


This ‘aspirin resistance’ seems to be widespread, and we don’t yet know what causes it.  So we don’t know who should take aspirin. To clarify this, we need large genetic studies to discover who will benefit from low-dose aspirin.

What dose?
Thirdly, we don’t know what dose of aspirin is best. While the current paper has looked at 75mg of aspirin we don’t know that 150 or even 300mg isn’t better. This is vital – the commonest reason drugs don’t work is the dose is wrong.

A premature rush to using aspirin in too small a dose in the population could result in many people being deprived of benefit.


Peter Rothwell research says 75mg per day gives 21% reduction in cancer.

How long should you take it for?
Fourth, we don’t know how long a person has to take aspirin to get a protective effect. The current paper indicates an unusually rapid response for this: five years. This is unique and in many ways doesn’t fit with how we understand cancer develops.


Note: The Peter Rothwell et al paper is 'unique' and 'doesn't fit with how we understand cancer develops'.

In particular, in order to stop cancer developing we believe aspirin must be taken at a very early stage in cancer’s development, before it becomes ‘full-blown’ cancer. This prevents the small groups of abnormal cells obtaining more genetic changes that will eventually become cancer. We believe this takes about 10 to 15 years.

What has been done by Cancer Research UK in this area?
The trial I work on – AspECT – was specifically designed to measure rates of oesophageal cancer, bowel cancer and deaths from heart disease.

The trial is split into four groups:
  • people only given a low-dose proton pump inhibitor
  • people only given a high-dose proton pump inhibitor
  • people given a low-dose proton pump inhibitor with 300mg aspirin
  • people given a high-dose proton pump inhibitor with 300mg aspirin
To date, the team behind the trial haven’t revealed any obvious differences between these four groups. 

While we strongly endorse this recent study, much caution is needed. 


The study looked at trials that focused on heart disease rather than cancer, and that might have biased the results.

For example, the number of deaths from cancer of the digestive system was just 182 out of almost 20,000 patients. There were only 23 deaths from oesophageal cancer. That’s a very small number to be trying to draw firm conclusions from.

Was the Peter Rothwell research to small numbers to draw their conclusions?

Patients on these trials, especially those who were taking aspirin, might also have had medical complications that resulted in them being diagnosed at an earlier stage (when cancers are easier to treat successfully).

In short, before making any broad recommendations, we need trials like AspECT to report their findings. AspECT’s preliminary data will be available in 2012. These will cover issues of risk benefit, genetic stratification for response, dose and length of therapy, and should go a long way towards answering these crucial questions.

Janusz Jankowski



Reference:
Rothwell, P., Fowkes, F., Belch, J., Ogawa, H., Warlow, C., & Meade, T. (2010). Effect of daily aspirin on long-term risk of death due to cancer: analysis of individual patient data from randomised trials The LancetDOI: 10.1016/S0140-6736(10)62110-1