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Showing posts with label Ben Goldacre. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Ben Goldacre. Show all posts

Tuesday, 18 March 2014

Statins side effects are minimal, study argues

reposted from: http://www.nhs.uk/news/2014/03March/Pages/Statins-side-effects-are-minimal-study-argues.aspx
crabsallover highlightskey pointscomments / links.

Thursday March 13 2014
Statins are used to lower blood cholesterol levels
“Cholesterol-lowering statins have almost no side effects,” The Guardian reports. A new UK study argues that the majority of reported side effects are actually due to the nocebo effect  symptoms that are “all in the mind”. 
The researchers looked at the combined results of 29 studies and found there was no difference in the incidence of common side effects in the treated group compared to those in the placebo group. However, there was a slightly higher occurrence of diabetes.
Statins slightly reduced the risk of death from any cause, as well as the risk of heart attack and stroke in people with or without vascular disease. 
However,  the research did not include analysis for some reported side effects of statins, such as memory problems, blurred vision, ringing in the ears or skin problems.
The frequently reported side effect of muscle weakness was only considered if there was also a 10-fold rise in a muscle enzyme associated with muscle injury. Muscle aches, in particular, were no more common in the statin group than the placebo group.
This research has provided a novel approach to assessing the risks and benefits of using statins. Arguably, it provides the most comprehensive research yet on the number of people thought to have genuine side effects, and the risks and benefits of taking statins in both low- and high-risk groups for cardiovascular diseases such as heart attacks.
However, some headlines  such as “Statins are safe”  have overstated the case. There is no such thing as an entirely "safe" drug for everyone who takes it. If a drug doesn’t have side effects, it doesn’t work.
If you have any concerns about taking statins, you should discuss this with your GP or health advisor.

The nocebo effect

Most people have heard of the placebo effect – where people see an improvement in symptoms, despite having been given a dummy treatment; this is thought to be down to the power of the own mind.

Well, the nocebo effect is its evil twin. People can develop what they believe are side effects, even though they have been given a dummy treatment.

Ben Goldacre, one of the authors of the study in question, says that if you want to see the nocebo effect in action, when sitting on a sofa with friends suddenly ask: “does this things have fleas in it?”.

Where did the story come from?

The study was carried out by researchers from Imperial College London and the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine. They say they did not receive any grants from any funding agency in the public, commercial or not-for-profit sectors. The authors are supported by the British Heart Foundation, the National Institute for Health Research and the Wellcome Trust.
The study was published in the peer-reviewed medical journal European Journal of Preventive Cardiology.
The media reported that this study shows that statins have no side effects in comparison to placebo.
This is misleading, as the research was aiming to ask a different question: “What proportion of symptomatic side effects in patients taking statins are genuinely caused by the drug?”
And the researchers were more cautious in their conclusion.
It has not comprehensively looked at all side effects, and it gives no indication of the severity or frequency of side effects experienced.
The media also did not report how small the benefits of statins were found to be in this study. This is an important consideration for people who want to make an informed choice when weighing up the risks and benefits of statin treatment.

What kind of research was this?

This was a meta-analysis of double-blind randomised controlled trials. This means the researchers added together and analysed the results of all studies that met their inclusion criteria. Double-blind randomised controlled trials are the gold standard for studies of whether a drug works or not, as they compare a drug directly with a placebo (dummy), and neither the participant nor the clinician knows which one they are taking. This removes any bias that could affect the results.
Studies of safety are often based on long-term observational studies, often without a placebo. The approach of reviewing randomised trials for safety data, as used by these researchers, would be particularly good at checking on differences between a drug and placebo.

What did the research involve?

The researchers found studies comparing statins to placebo and pooled the results to see if statins increase the risk of side effects, compared to rates in the placebo arm.
Two large databases were searched for relevant studies looking at statins being compared to placebo for cardiovascular disease prevention. Studies were excluded if they compared statins with standard therapy or no treatment. They also excluded studies that mainly included people on renal dialysis, those with organ transplants or if other non-statin medication was also started. This was because people in these categories did not represent the majority of people treated with statins.
They separately analysed studies of primary cardiovascular disease prevention (i.e. in people who had not had a heart attack or stroke) and secondary cardiovascular disease prevention (reducing the risk of a further heart attack or stroke in people who have already had one or the other).
They recorded any serious events for each trial and pooled the results, including:
  • mortality of any cause
  • fatal heart attack
  • non-fatal heart attack
  • fatal stroke
  • non-fatal stroke
  • any life-threatening condition
  • any hospitalisation
They also recorded other side effects, but only if they were reported in at least two trials and the sample size was at least 500 people:
  • increased liver enzymes
  • newly diagnosed diabetes mellitus
  • myopathy symptoms (muscular weakness)
  • muscle aches
  • increased creatine kinase (a muscle enzyme that raises during muscle injury) more than 10 times the upper limit of normal
  • back pain
  • newly diagnosed cancer
  • kidney problems
  • insomnia
  • gastrointestinal disturbance, nausea
  • dyspepsia (indigestion), diarrhoea or constipation
  • fatigue
  • headache
  • suicide
They performed internationally recognised statistical analysis to pool the results together. They then calculated the increased risk of experiencing each side effect for participants taking the statins and for participants taking placebo. They subtracted the placebo risk from the statin risk to find the absolute increase in risk for being on statins. By doing this, they worked out the proportion of symptoms that would not have been attributable to taking medication.
The researchers reported risks as “absolute risks” and calculated the reduction in risk by subtracting the risk in one arm from that in the other. This makes a direct comparison of the possible risks and benefits.

What were the basic results?

They found 14 randomised controlled trials, which included 46,262 people without previous heart disease or stroke (primary prevention). They also found 15 randomised controlled trials, including 37,618 people who already had heart disease or stroke (secondary prevention). On average, the trials lasted between 6 months and 5.4 years, and those included were mostly men.
In the studies, on people who had not already suffered from a heart attack or stroke, the rate of new-onset diabetes for people on statins was 2.7% and on placebo was 2.2%.
The difference between rates on treatment and on placebo is 0.5% (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.1 to 1%), meaning there was a small, statistically significant increase in the rate of developing diabetes with a statin.
This means that in 100 people taking statins, 20 cases of newly diagnosed diabetes mellitus could be due to taking this medicine. In people who had already suffered from a heart attack or stroke, there was only one study that reported new onset diabetes, and no significant effect was seen.
In the studies on people who had not already suffered from a heart attack or stroke, the risk of death from any cause on statins was 0.5% (CI -0.9 to -0.2%) less than the risk on placebo. The risk of a heart attack was 1% (CI -1.4 to -0.7%) less and the risk of stroke 0.3% (CI -0.5 to -0.1%) less.
In the studies on people who had already suffered from a heart attack or stroke, the reduction in absolute risk of death from any cause was even more: 1.4% (CI -2.1 to -0.7%) less compared to placebo. Statins also significantly reduced the risk of a heart attack by 2.3% (CI -2.8 to -1.7%) and the risk of stroke was 0.7% (-1.2 to -0.3%) less.
The proportion of people developing symptoms or other blood test abnormalities was as follows:
  • In both study groups, liver enzymes rose in 0.4% of people on statins. No symptoms were reported, and it is unclear if this was harmful.
    There was no significant difference between
  • taking statins or placebo for any of the other adverse events or side effects listed above.
  • With regards to muscle weakness, this was only recorded if the muscle enzyme (creatinine kinase) level was greater than 10 times the upper limit of normal, so was found in just 16/19,286 people on statins and 10/17,888 on placebo in the primary prevention group. A separate category for muscle aches were experienced in 1744/22,058 (7.9%) in people on statins and 1646/21,624 (7.6%) on placebo.

How did the researchers interpret the results?

At the doses tested in these 83,880 patients, only a small minority of symptoms reported on statins are genuinely due to the statins; almost all reported symptoms occurred just as frequently when patients were administered placebo. New-onset diabetes mellitus was the only potentially or actually symptomatic side effect whose rate was significantly higher on statins than placebo; nevertheless, only one in five of these new cases were actually caused by statins.

Conclusion

This meta-analysis pooled results from 29 studies and has shown a very small increased risk of newly diagnosed diabetes mellitus. This is the same as the decreased risk of any cause of death in people taking statins, compared to placebo, to prevent a heart attack or stroke.
The researchers point out some limitations to the meta-analysis:
  • Each study did not report on all of the side effects, meaning that for each category of side effect, the number of participants differed. The side effect categories were only included if at least 500 people had reported suffering from it. This means there may be numerous other side effects that were not covered by this research.
  • New onset diabetes was only documented in 3 of the 29 trials, though the numbers were still reasonably large.
  • Many trials do not state clearly how and how often adverse events were assessed. This is particularly important, as it is not clear from this type of analysis how often the side effects were experienced or the severity.
Side effects not covered by this review include memory problems, blurred vision, ringing in the ears and skin problems.
Anecdotally, muscle aches or weakness is one of the main reasons people stop taking statins. In this review, the category for muscle weakness was only looked at if the person also had a 10-fold increase in creatinine kinase level (indicating muscle damage). Muscle aches were separately recorded, as this is more common and not always experienced alongside muscle weakness. No firm conclusions can therefore be drawn from this meta-analysis regarding whether statins have an effect on the risk of muscle weakness, if there was less than a 10-fold increase in creatinine levels.
This research was limited to studying the side effects reported in the included studies. Although it was not a comprehensive study of all side effects, it has provided a novel approach to assessing the balance of risks and benefits.
It provides extremely useful data on the proportion of people expected to have genuine side effects and the balance of risks and benefits when taking statins in both low- and high-risk groups.
There are other ways you can lower your cholesterol levels, such as eating a healthy diet low in saturated fat and taking regular exercise.

Thursday, 14 February 2013

DC's Improbable Science reviews Bad Pharma

reposted from: http://www.dcscience.net/?p=5538
crabsallover highlightskey pointscomments / links.

DC's (David Colquhoun) Improbable Science says .... "It’s weird that medicine, the most caring profession, is more corrupt than any other branch of science.  The reason, needless to say, is money. Well, money and vanity.  The publish or perish mentality of senior academics encourages dishonesty. It is a threat to honest science. Ben Goldacre’s book 'Bad Pharma' shows the consequences: harm to patients and huge wastage of public money. Read it. Do something."

Monday, 24 December 2012

A week's health news in numbers

reposted from: http://www.nhs.uk/news/2012/12December/Pages/The-news-in-numbers.aspx

crabsallover highlightskey pointscomments / links.


We love numbers at Behind the Headlines – statistics are our stock-in-trade.
As a fun experiment we decided to take a look at an average week of health news, break it all down, stick in a spreadsheet and see what patterns emerged. And we ended up with a number of surprising results.

Methods

We included the following newspapers in our analysis:
  • Daily Express and Sunday Express
  • The Guardian and The Observer
  • The Independent and The Independent on Sunday
  • Daily Mail and The Mail on Sunday
  • Daily Mirror and Sunday Mirror
  • The Sun – but not The Sun on Sunday (we forgot to update our newspaper order after the News of the World closed down)
  • The Daily Telegraph and The Sunday Telegraph
  • The Times and The Sunday Times
Our unscientific study looked at all the printed news from Monday November 26 to Sunday December 2.
For the purpose of the analysis, we used the following categories to classify each individual news story:
  • Case reports – stories that report on, normally unusual, individual cases such as a Chinese girl who got a screwdriver stuck up her nose
  • ‘Straight up’ news items – topical occurrences in healthcare or medicine, policy announcements and political debate around a certain issue – an ongoing news item for the week in question was the debate on minimum alcohol pricing
  • Charity, support group, or 'think tank' reports – stories generated by an announcement, report or press release from one of these types of organisations – such as the story about migraine sufferers being discriminated against at work
  • Surveys and commercial press releases – for example, a survey from a smartphone app manufacturer found that three-quarters of people ‘can’t bear’ to talk to other people before 8am
  • Peer-reviewed research – a story reporting on new evidence published in a peer-reviewed journal
  • Non peer-reviewed research – a story reporting on evidence that has not been published in a peer-reviewed journal, such as a presentation at a conference, or a press release published by a university or research centre
  • Research – source unknown – this was used to classify news stories where it was unclear whether the evidence had or had not been published in a peer-reviewed journal
Types of stories not included in our analysis were:
  • Health and lifestyle features – such as, how to lose a dress size by Christmas, or seven ways to tackle sleepless nights
  • Opinion-driven stories – such as, neurologist calls for more dementia research funding
  • Celebrity-driven stories – such as, soap star shares her seven-year battle with depression secret

Stories by type

In total there were 197 stories, of which there were:
  • 85 'straight' news stories  (43.18%)
  • 41 case reports (20.83%)
  • 38 peer reviewed research stories (19.30%)
  • 15 charity, support group or think tank report stories (7.62%)
  • 8 Research of unknown origin (4.06%)
  • 6 Survey or press release stories (3.05%)
  • 4 Non-peer reviewed research (2.03%)

A few points to consider

Case reports – too many?

It is unsurprising that topical news stories are the most popular type of stories found in newspapers. That is their job after all. But what we did find surprising is the high amount of case report type of studies – accounting for just over one in five of all stories.
While the 'human interest' element of these stories is undoubtedly newsworthy, focusing so much on case reports runs the risk of giving the reader a distorted view of the significance of specific health risks.
These types of stories hit the headlines as they are rare and unusual – not because they pose a threat to public health.
For example, a big new story of that week was the tragic case of a woman who died after eating a poisonous mushroom.
But the fact that around 50 people a year die after accidentally overdosing on painkillers each year in England and Wales goes largely unreported. As Dr Ben Goldacre notes in his book Bad Pharma, almost every MDMA-related (wiki = ecstasy) death gets a mention in a newspaper while only one in every 265 deaths due to paracetamol poisoning gets a mention.

Pure laziness

Even just eight stories where the papers did not bother to mention the source (the research-unknown stories) is eight too many. It is laziness or sloppiness on their part and should not be accepted by either editors or readers. It prevents anyone from delving into the facts behind the headlines and coming to their own judgement about it.

Surprising lack of survey stories

We were surprised at how few PR-driven survey or commercial stories there were during the week. This could be due to the fact that this was a ‘big news’ week, with the publication of the Leveson Report into press practices and standards, as well as the ongoing fallout over the Jimmy Savile scandal.
It is our experience that newspapers will make more use of these pre-packaged PR-driven stories (so-called ‘churnalism’) during slower news periods, such as during the summer (the ‘silly season’).

Output by individual papers

In terms of each individual newspapers’ output of news stories, the results were:
  • The Daily Telegraph and The Sunday Telegraph 41 (20.83%)
  • Daily Mail and The Mail on Sunday 37 (18.80%)
  • Daily Mirror and Sunday Mirror 30 (15.24%)
  • The Sun (Monday to Saturday) 26 (13.21%)
  • Daily Express and Sunday Express 20 (10.16%)
  • The Independent 16 (8.13%)
  • The Guardian and The Observer 14 (7.11%)
  • The Times and The Sunday Times 13 (6.60%)

Points to consider

Never mind the quality, feel the width?

While we can see that the Telegraph and Mail occupy the top two spots, the figures do not really do full justice to the extent of their health coverage.
While the Mirror may be in third spot, most of its stories were small one or two page paragraph items. While in contrast, the Mail and the Telegraph stories often occupied a third or a half of a page.
Behind the Headlines often appears to be critical of these papers, but the depth and amount of their coverage means these papers are more likely to slip up. However, they are not the only ones to make mistakes as The Independent, which puts out relatively few health stories, has been prone to several howlers in 2012.

The wrong Times?

The low score for The Times was also puzzling. It could be due to the fact that they were running a daily campaign into reducing stillbirths (which for the purposes of the study we considered to be opinion-driven stories), so they saw this as meeting their health news ‘quota’. Or it could just have been a pure statistical blip.

Papers publishing the most peer-reviewed research

Individual newspapers that published the most stories based on peer-reviewed evidence over the course of the week were:
  • The Daily Mail and The Mail on Sunday 8 (21.06%)
  • The Daily Telegraph and The Sunday Telegraph 7 (18.42%)
  • The Daily Express and Sunday Express 6 (15.79%)
  • The Independent 6 (15.79%)
  • Daily Mirror and Sunday Mirror 5 (13.16%)
  • The Sun (Monday to Saturday) 3 (7.90%)
  • The Guardian and The Observer 2 (5.26%)
  • The Times and The Sunday Times 1 (2.63%)

Points to consider

The Daily Mail: 'champion of evidence-based medicine'?

The Mail catches a lot of flak sometimes from Behind the Headlines. But there is no denying that when it comes to championing new evidence-based medical research, the Mail is way ahead of the pack. The reporting is often of good quality and when we do find an error it is more often than not an overblown headline somewhat misinterpreting the story beneath it.
The Mail's near-obsession with peer-reviewed research contrasts starkly with The Guardian, which only managed a measly two stories based on peer-reviewed research.

The top stories of the week

Top news stories

  • Minimum alcohol pricing – 18 mentions
  • Whooping cough rates worse for decade – 7 mentions
  • New NICE guidelines on cycling and walking – 5 mentions
  • Assaults on NHS staff are up – 4 mentions
  • New HIV stats published – 4 mentions
  • NHS to pay for music lessons – 4 mentions
  • 52,000 denied NHS operations – 3 mentions
  • GPs paid to treat illegal immigrants – 3 mentions
  • MMR vaccine rates at record high – 3 mentions
  • MP call to end free prescriptions for preventable diseases – 3 mentions
  • Review of the Liverpool Care Pathway – 3 mentions

Most mentioned peer-reviewed studies

  • Grapefruit drug overdose warnings – 6 mentions
  • Pollution autism link – 6 mentions
  • Syrup linked to diabetes epidemic – 4 mentions
  • Too much exercise can damage heart – 2 mentions
  • Fat test for babies – 2 mentions
  • Bacon cancer link dismissed – 1 mention
  • Extra sleep helps beat chronic pain – 1 mention
  • Statins and exercise cut heart disease rates – 1 mention
The results of our experiment are unsurprising here. Millions of people take prescription drugs in this country and millions of people eat grapefruit. So the decision to cover a study looking at prescription drug-grapefruit interactions is pretty much a ‘no-brainer’ in terms of editors thinking about their potential audience.

Top case reports

  • Woman dies after eating mushrooms – 4 mentions
  • OAP waits 12 hours for lift home – 3 mentions
  • Parkinson's drug turned man into sex addict – 3 mentions
  • UK woman dies of rabies – 3 mentions
  • Boy with 10-ounce cyst – 2 mentions
  • Ruptured stomach – 2 mentions
  • Young woman has both breasts removed – 2 mentions
We find that case reports involving tragic deaths are more likely to get coverage than case reports that, arguably, are more helpful in terms of providing useful public health information (such as The Guardian’s stories about dangers of unproven cancer treatments). Each of these stories is shocking, but as we mention above, sometimes case report stories may serve to inflate the popular image of the potential risks in everyday life.

Health news day by day

The total news stories broken down by days of the week are:
  • Monday November 26 – 28 (14.22%)
  • Tuesday November 27 – 36 (18.23%)
  • Wednesday November 28 – 40 (20.32%)
  • Thursday November 29 – 37 (18.80%)
  • Friday November 30 – 23 (11.68%)
  • Saturday December 1 – 18 (9.11%)
  • Sunday December 2 – 15 (7.63%)
Tuesday to Thursday proved surprisingly packed with health news, for which can see no obvious explanation.

Some final points

It is important to stress a few final points about the information we have presented:
  • This, in no way, should be taken as a systematic review of a week’s news. That would entail using a searchable electronic media archive (such as the LexisNexus news database), and ideally, a panel of researchers. We just used one trusty team member armed with nothing more than a pile of newspapers and a pair of scissors.
  • We forgot to order the Sun on Sunday after the News of the World folded, which may mean our results are unrepresentative (for example, the Sun on Sunday may have decided to break with tradition and run a special evidence-based medicine supplement on the Sunday December 2).
  • Our classification of specific stories into categories, such as case reports or peer-reviewed research, was entirely subjective.

Conclusion

So what have we learned from this fun exercise?
  • The Daily Mail is probably the best source for news on peer-reviewed research (but you may want to check their reporting against the actual study – or at least the abstract)
  • Case reports may help sell newspapers, but they may not contribute much to the public good
  • Left-of-centre newspapers, despite their caring image, might not really care too much about health
  • We're probably busiest in the middle of the week
  • Health journalists probably don't work weekend shifts
  • That we need to subscribe to The Sun on Sunday

Sunday, 24 October 2010

Saturday, 14 August 2010

Ben Goldacre explains the placebo effect

reposted from: NHS Choices
Ben Goldacre, doctor and author of Bad Science, explains what the placebo effect is and describes its role in medical research and in the pharmaceutical industry - 5 minute video here.

Transcript

The placebo effect is the extraordinary phenomena of people getting better

even when they've only had a dummy or a sham treatment.

That can mean a sugar pill, but it can also mean sham ultrasound,

where somebody holds a machine to your body, but doesn't switch it on.

Or even a fake operation,

where somebody makes the incision, then just pretends to operate.

And the fascinating and amazing thing is,

it turns out when people get these fake, sham treatments,

they often get better.

What's interesting about the placebo effect

is that it shows the amazing power of the mind over the body.

Not in a flaky, New Age way,

but in a very real sense we really can make our pain better,

we really can improve our own symptoms

through our beliefs and expectations.

All of the magazine adverts you've ever seen

have built up in your memory

and have increased your expectation of a brand-name packaged pill.

What's interesting is that the placebo effect seems to work on everybody.

It doesn't matter if you're a sceptic,

and even children and animals respond to the placebo effect

because the people around them have higher expectations

of the dummy treatment they've been given.

It's natural to expect that your children, certainly,

would react to your expectations that they would get better.

There are some fascinating examples.

The most interesting ones compare one dummy treatment with another.

Because that's what shows that it's the placebo effect at work.

So for example we know that four sugar pills a day, four dummy pills

are better than two sugar pills a day at clearing gastric ulcers.

An outrageous finding, in some respects.

Gastric ulcers are a very good thing to study,

because they're very easy to diagnose.

You put a camera with a light on it down the throat

and take a photograph of the stomach lining.

You can see the ulcer is either there or it's gone.

Four sugar pills a day clear gastric ulcers faster than two a day.

We know that the colour of pills is important.

It turns out that people experience green or blue pills as being sedating

and red or orange pills as being alerting.

And the pharmaceutical industry know this too.

If you look at the packaging on anti-depressant or anti-anxiety pills

that tends to be green and white or blue and white.

Whereas stimulant pills or antibiotics tend to come in bright red pills.

There have been several different studies of pain,

looking at the placebo effect.

They show that a saltwater injection with no active ingredient in it,

is a more effective treatment for pain than a dummy sugar pill.

A pill that looks like a painkiller.

So the saltwater injection doesn't have any drugs in it,

the dummy sugar pill doesn't have any drugs in it,

but an injection feels like a more dramatic and serious treatment.

And that's why people experience more pain relief from a dummy injection

than they do from a dummy pill.

The interesting thing about all research is what you do with it.

And with the placebo effect you are in an interesting ethical hole.

The research shows that lying to your patients, misleading them,

can help them get better.

And a patient given a placebo sugar pill

isn't exposed to any physical side-effects,

so people might say, maybe we should give placebo treatments commonly.

But I think that's problematic. I think that's wrong.

Because to give a placebo treatment to a patient

requires that you lie to them.

And I don't think that doctors or anybody working in the NHS

can lie to patients.

I think it's ethically wrong but also, in the long-run,

when you lie to people paternalistically like that,

eventually word gets out and you undermine the credibility

of everything that you say.

Even though we don't want to lie to patients

there is an ethical way that we can use the placebo research.

Because what this research tells us is

that the way you give a treatment, can affect how effective it is.

So we know, for example, that if we give treatments

in a much more healing environment with a greater sense of positivity

with happier, more confident people in the NHS, in nicer settings,

then that's not just wishy-washy,

that really genuinely improves the outcomes of our treatments.

And I think that's the real key,

to use all of the placebo effect research I've described,

to find ways of taking treatments which we know are effective,

and make them even better.