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Showing posts with label Janusz Jankowski. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Janusz Jankowski. Show all posts

Tuesday, 13 November 2012

reposted from: http://www.gastroendonews.com/ViewArticle.aspx?d=In%2Bthe%2BNews&d_id=187&i=November+2012&i_id=905&a_id=22107

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ISSUE: NOVEMBER 2012 | VOLUME: 63:11
Benefit of Aspirin as Chemoprevention for Barrett’s May Not Outweigh Risks by Caroline Helwick


San Francisco—There is no evidence that aspirin is beneficial for preventing esophageal adenocarcinoma in people younger than age 55 years. Even for appropriate patients, the benefits emerge only after many years of use and the related risks remain unclear, said Janusz Jankowski, MD, PhD, the Sir James Black professor at the University of Oxford in the United Kingdom.

Dr. Jankowski is chief investigator of AspECT (Aspirin Esomeprazole Chemoprevention Trial), a randomized trial that is currently evaluating the chemopreventive effect of aspirin in patients with Barrett’s esophagus (BE). Some of the controversy may well be resolved by AspECT, which is one of the largest randomized trials involving the upper gastrointestinal (GI) tract ever. Currently, 2,513 patients are being tested to ascertain whether low-dose aspirin versus no aspirin—both in combination with esomeprazole (20 vs. 80 mg)—can reduce cancer risk. Efficacy results are expected in 2019 (ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT00357682).

Dr. Jankowski reviewed the available evidence for aspirin’s effect in preventing esophageal adenocarcinoma in a lecture at the American Society for Clinical Oncology 2012 Gastrointestinal Cancers Symposium.

When compared with other chemopreventive agents like cyclooxygenase (COX) inhibitors and nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs), aspirin has shown the greatest efficacy in reducing the risk for cancer (20%-30%) and cardiovascular events (25%), at by far the lowest cost (approximately $5 per year), although with a slightly higher risk for upper GI bleeding (2.5%-4% per year).

“Compared with traditional NSAIDs and COX inhibitors, aspirin wins hands down for preventing cancer and cardiovascular disease, but GI bleeds are the biggest side effect,” Dr. Jankowski said. “And this GI bleeding profile is only relevant for aspirin taken alone. If you take another NSAID, the risk is additive.”

Although rare, aspirin also has been associated with a risk for macular degeneration.

“We have to consider when we look at randomized data, that aspirin could be preventing some problems but causing others at a very low frequency,” Dr. Jankowski noted.

Preliminary data from the AspECT trial suggest that 5% of individuals are intolerant to aspirin, meaning that one in 20 will discontinue its use due to effects such as GI upset, skin rash or worsening of asthma. And as patients age, the risk for complications gradually increases and could approach 20% by the age of 70, after 20 years of use, Dr. Jankowski said.

“The big challenge is to see if the 20% to 25% of patients who get a cancer prevention benefit are different from the 20% who may get aspirin-induced complications,” Dr. Jankowski said. “Randomized studies are the only way to fully answer the questions related to the risks and benefits of aspirin as chemoprevention.”

An analysis of individual patient data from randomized trials (Rothwell PM et al. Lancet 2011;377:31-41) concluded that taking aspirin daily (=75 mg) reduced deaths due to common cancers, during and after the trials, in 20% to 25% of subjects. The effect was most pronounced for GI tumors; it was apparent after four years and became significant after 10 years.

“One-fifth to one-quarter of patients taking aspirin for cardiac reasons got a secondary benefit in terms of cancer prevention,” Dr. Jankowski observed. “But, based on the data, you may have to take aspirin for at least 10 years, and maybe 20, to get this benefit, so the side-effect frequency needs to be exceptionally low. And as good as aspirin is, the response rate is just 20% and we still don’t know who the responders will be.”

It also is possible that the preventive effect is smaller, he added, based on his reanalysis of the Rothwell data.

“In our hands, we showed that cancer prevention is not 20% to 25%, but more like 7% to 10% (risk ratio [RR] 0.9; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.87-1.00]),” he said. “This is crucial. We need to understand the real benefit and risks in order to determine the value, especially as primary prevention.”

From cardiology data it is clear that aspirin use affects cardiovascular events only in persons already at high risk (i.e., the secondary prevention population). A recent paper recapitulated this finding in cancer as well as cardiac disease, Dr. Jankowski noted.

In a meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials involving 100,000 participants followed for a period of six years (Seshasai SR et al. Arch Intern Med. 2012;172:209-216), it was found that aspirin treatment reduced total cardiovascular events by a modest 10%, did not prevent cardiovascular deaths and was associated with a 31% increased risk for nontrivial bleeding events. The investigators concluded that routine use of aspirin for primary prevention is not warranted.

“So, should one take low-dose aspirin?” Dr. Jankowski asked. “At this time, the answer is indefatigably ‘No, you should not,’ unless you have secondary risk factors for cardiac or GI conditions.”
The international Consensus Statements for Management of Barrett’s Dysplasia and Early-Stage Esophageal Adenocarcinoma, Based on a Delphi Process (BADCAT, Gastroenterology, 2012;143:336-346) confirmed Dr. Jankowski’s conclusions. The group’s consensus is that it is not currently known whether aspirin can prevent the progression of BE and that the inherited genetics of BE has not been clarified. These topics should be a research focus, the group stated.

Early data from the AspECT trial, however, have offered encouraging signs that four years of aspirin treatment may be protective.

“There are not enough data to determine if it prevents cancer, but we see new squamous islands appearing where Barrett’s esophagus was,” said Dr. Jankowski.

“We may have a recommendation regarding aspirin use within the next two years,” he added. “Meanwhile, there is no evidence whatsoever, even with risk factors for cancer or cardiac disease, that a person should take aspirin before the age of 55 years. And we don’t think that taking aspirin after the age of 75 makes sense, based on the need to take it for 10 years to achieve a benefit, and because of the high incidence of side effects at this age. Between the ages of 55 and 75, a patient could take aspirin, but there are still risk–benefit issues and we don’t know who will respond. We need to deal with these issues urgently.”

Prateek Sharma, MD, professor of medicine at the University of Kansas School of Medicine, Kansas City, commented on the findings.

“The majority of esophageal adenocarcinomas originate in patients with Barrett’s esophagus. These patients progress to low-grade dysplasia, high-grade dysplasia, intramucosal carcinoma and finally to invasive carcinoma,” he noted. “Currently, we survey patients with Barrett’s esophagus to detect high-grade dysplasia and early cancer, which can then be treated for cure. We could achieve substantial health care savings if we had an agent that would prevent these conditions.

Although observational studies have generated preliminary data on the ability of certain agents such as aspirin, sulindac and DFMO [difluoromethylornithine) to prevent esophageal cancer, their broad clinical applicability is limited due to their toxicity,” he added. “Further research is needed to identify which subset of patients would benefit from chemoprevention and the dose required, duration of treatment and toxicity.”

Tuesday, 7 June 2011

Janusz Jankowski et al comment on Peter Rothwell, Asprin & Cancer, 14 May 2011, The Lancet

reposted from: http://download.thelancet.com/pdfs/journals/lancet/PIIS0140673611606661.pdf?id=e16241398b8eb460:3c68b886:1306b6f6506:38b41307479634423 and Reply:
http://download.thelancet.com/pdfs/journals/lancet/PIIS0140673611606703.pdf?id=e16241398b8eb460:3c68b886:1306b6f6506:38b41307479634423
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Janusz Jankowski, Hugh Barr, John deCaestecker, Peter Watson, Stephen Attwood, Paul Moayyedi


We write with regard to the Article by Peter Rothwell and colleagues,1 which indicates that low-dose aspirin might prevent cancer. Although we strongly endorse Rothwell and colleagues’ publication, we urge caution.

If we presume that aspirin does have a chemoprotective role, it clearly does not work for everyone since at best 25% of people are estimated to get a cancer prevention benefit but this figure could be as low as 20%.

This “aspirin resistance” in patients seems to be present widely in the population so we do not know who should respond.2

Genetic studies such as those undertaken by the Esophageal Adenocarcinoma Genetic Linkage (EAGLE) consortia are needed to assess which individuals will respond best to the chemopreventive eff ects of low dose aspirin.

Additionally, meta-analysis of cardiac trials with reassess ment of causes of cancer deaths might have in advertently introduced bias. For example, the number of cases of gastrointestinal cancer death in Rothwell and colleagues’ study was 182 out of almost 20 000 cases. In particular there were only 23 oesophageal cancers. Patients in these trials, especially those using aspirin, might have had complications that resulted in earlier presentation.

The AspECT chemoprevention trial 3 was specifi cally designed to look at the effect of aspirin on oesophageal cancer development but will also give information on effects on colon cancer development as well as on cardiac deaths. To date, the data monitoring team and the trial steering team have not divulged any obvious trend between the four groups of this trial (low-dose proton-pump inhibitor [PPI], high-dose PPI, low-dose PPI with low-dose aspirin [300 mg], and high-dose PPI with low-dose aspirin). We need trials such as AspECT to report their preliminary findings of genetic stratification for response, as well as risk/benefi t, dose, and length of therapy.

JJ has a consultancy to AstraZeneca Oncology, which makes esomeprazole—one of the agents in the AspECT trial. JJ has also received grants in aid from AstraZeneca previously. All authors are co-investigators in the AspECT trial. *Janusz Jankowski, Hugh Barr, John deCaestecker, Peter Watson, Stephen Attwood, Paul Moayyedi j.a.jankowski@qmul.ac.uk Leicester Royal Infi rmary, Leicester LE7 7HH, UK (JJ, JdC); Gloucestershire Royal Hospital, Gloucester, UK (HB); Belfast Hospital Trust, Belfast, UK (PW); Northumbria Healthcare NHS Foundation Trust, Tyne and Wear, UK (SA); and Gastrointestinal Division, McMaster University Medical Centre, Hamilton, ON, Canada (PM)

1 Rothwell PM, Fowkes FG, Belch JF, Ogawa H, Warlow CP, Meade TW. Eff ect of daily aspirin on long-term risk of death due to cancer: analysis of individual patient data from randomised trials. Lancet 2011; 377: 31–41.
2 Jankowski J, Hunt R. Cyclooxygenase-2 inhibitors in colorectal cancer prevention: better the devil you know. Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prevent 2008; 17: 1858–61.
3 Das D, Chilton AP, Jankowski JA. Chemoprevention of oesophageal cancer and the AspECT trial. Recent Results Cancer Res 2009; 181: 161–69.

Peter Rothwell Reply (full text)  - Risk of GI Bleeds
..
 Mark Nelson raises the issue of the risk of bleeding on aspirin. We deliberately made no specific recommendations about the widespread use of aspirin in healthy individuals, but we did discuss the issue of bleeding in some detail. Our analyses showed that taking aspirin daily for 5—10 years would reduce all-cause mortality (including any fatal bleeds) during that time by about 10% in relative terms. Subsequently, there would be further delayed reductions in risk of cancer death even if aspirin was stopped. In healthy middle-aged individuals, the risk of major bleeding on aspirin is relatively low (about 0·2 per 1000 patients per year—only a small proportion of which are fatal), and is already offset in many groups by the small reduction in risk of ischaemic vascular events. The reduction in risk of cancer is therefore additional to this existing balance in which the bleeding risk is already taken into account. However, the risk of bleeding on aspirin increases steeply with age and so we did not comment on use of aspirin in healthy individuals older than 75 years. The results of the ASPREE trial will be of great importance in this respect. 

Thursday, 23 December 2010

Does long term aspirin prevent cancer? - Moayyedi & Jankowski - full report

reposted from: http://www.bmj.com/content/341/bmj.c7326.full

full article (copy see below) paid for and stored on crabsallover PC: Moayyedi and Jankowski 341bmj-rothwell-aspirin-cancer.pdf. Further, crabsallover reviewed this article here in some depth.

BMJ 2010; 341:c7326 doi: 10.1136/bmj.c7326 (Published 22 December 2010)
Cite this as: BMJ 2010; 341:c7326
  • Editorial

Does long term aspirin prevent cancer?

  1. Paul Moayyedi, professor of medicine1
  2. Janusz A Jankowski, James Black fellow2
+Author Affiliations
  1. 11200 Main Street West, Hamilton, ON, Canada
  2. 2Division of Clinical Pharmacology, Department of Oncology, University of Oxford, Oxford OX3 7DQ, UK
  1. janusz.jankowski@clinpharm.ox.ac.uk
Potentially, but trials specifically designed to answer this question are needed
The cardioprotective effects of aspirin are well established. A meta-analysis of individual subject data from primary prevention randomised controlled trials (RCTs) suggested that aspirin can reduce the relative risk of non-fatal myocardial infarction by about 20%.1 Overall, however, the risks of treatment (severe gastrointestinal and extracranial bleeding) were roughly the same as the benefits, so routine use of aspirin as a primary preventive strategy was not recommended. The meta-analysis did not evaluate any potential reduction of mortality from cancer, as has been suggested by observational data.2 Observational data are difficult to interpret, however, because associations may not be causal and may be the result of confounding or bias.3 Rothwell and colleagues have therefore conducted another meta-analysis of individual subject data from RCTs of aspirin versus no aspirin for prevention of vascular disease, but this time they evaluated mortality from cancer as the main outcome.4 They found a 21% (95% confidence interval 8% to 32%) reduction in the odds of death from cancer in people who took aspirin for almost six years, and the effect was strongest for gastrointestinal cancers. The authors suggest that this may now tip the balance in favour of using aspirin as a primary prevention strategy, both for ischaemic heart disease and cancer.
Figure
Cordelia Molloy/Science Photo Library
The data initially look compelling, and primary care providers could be forgiven for now advising patients above a given age to take aspirin. Recommending widespread use of a drug in an otherwise healthy population, however, needs to be approached cautiously because we need to be certain that the benefits will outweigh the risks.1 A 20% reduction in death from cancer seems impressive, but looking at the data in terms of absolute numbers gives a different story. These trials followed up 25 750 participants for more than 150 000 patient years, and 20 fewer cancers occurred in those taking aspirin compared with those not taking aspirin. Looked at another way, after taking aspirin for almost six years there was a 0.5% absolute reduction in death from cancer, with a number needed to treat of 200 (111 to 1075). Compared with the 50% increase in risk of serious gastrointestinal and extracranial bleeding in participants taking aspirin (overall more than 100 excess serious bleeds occurred in the aspirin group in primary prevention trials),1 it is not clear that the benefits outweigh the risks, even when factoring in the cardioprotective effects of aspirin.
The most rigorous approach to assessing this is to evaluate all cause mortality. To their credit, Rothwell and colleagues analysed this in some detail and report a statistically significant reduction in all cause mortality.4Crucially, the effect is only marginally significant (relative risk of death in the aspirin arm 0.93, 0.87 to 1.00; P=0.045) (figure). This is not particularly robust, especially as six of the eight trials were in subjects at high risk of cardiovascular disease, where the benefits of aspirin should be greatest. Furthermore, the authors included one RCT where the data had been destroyed.5 It could be argued that because they had intended to conduct a meta-analysis of individual participant data this trial should have been excluded. This trial (SAPAT) had the greatest effect on all cause mortality (figure),5 and when it is excluded the results are not significant (0.94, 087 to 1.01; P=0.11). This is corroborated by another meta-analysis of individual participants (95 000 subjects with 660 000 person years of follow-up), which found that aspirin had no significant effect on all cause mortality (0.95, 0.88 to 1.02; P=0.1) when used as primary prevention.1
Figure
Forest plot of all cause mortality in randomised controlled trials of aspirin versus no aspirin4
This last point emphasises the fact that Rothwell and colleagues chose a subset of all the primary and secondary prevention aspirin RCTs that have been conducted. Twenty one RCTs have evaluated about 112 000 subjects,1so Rothwell and colleagues evaluated only around 20% of all subjects. This is because they excluded several trials that did not meet their eligibility criteria (for example, insufficient length of follow-up or subjects given aspirin on alternate days). However, systematic reviews can give different conclusions depending how they are conducted, and eligibility criteria can be somewhat arbitrary.6 For example, Rothwell and colleagues report that 75 mg aspirin a day is sufficient to reduce death from cancer. If this is the case, then perhaps 325 mg every other day would also be effective, as used in the US Physicians Health Study,7 which had 22 071 participants (almost as many as Rothwell and colleagues’ entire meta-analysis). It would be interesting to see how the inclusion of this trial would affect the results.
The data are not robust enough to recommend aspirin for the general population and we still do not know the optimum dose and length of treatment.8 Key data could come from the AspECT trial,9 10 which is evaluating the effect of aspirin in preventing all causes of mortality and oesophageal adenocarcinoma. The interim analysis will be reported in 2012.
In addition, Canada and the United Kingdom have low numbers of gastroenterologists per head of population compared with other countries in the developed world.11 If most of the population started taking aspirin our gastrointestinal services might be overwhelmed. Until further evidence from RCTs is accrued, aspirin should not be recommended for everyone.

Notes

Cite this as: BMJ 2010;340:c7326

Footnotes

  • Competing interests: All authors have completed the Unified Competing Interest form at www.icmje.org/coi_disclosure.pdf (available on request from the corresponding author) and declare: JJ had support for this work from Cancer Research UK, PM had no support; JJ is a consultant for Astrazeneca Oncology and PM and JJ have received Astrazeneca educational grants; JJ is chief investigator and PM is deputy chief investigator of the AspECT trial.
  • Provenance and peer review: Commissioned; not externally peer reviewed.

References